Rank the whole player pool
Search the complete current projection artifact and filter by position or confidence.
Explore rankings
- Player pool
- 915
- Refresh
- Current model build
Outsiders
See the game.Before it happens.
Rankings, projections, matchup models, and league-aware tools turn football data into clear decisions for your roster.
- Projected points
- 287.0
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba · PPR
- Model confidence
- high
- Range modeled
- Players modeled
- 915
- Current artifact
- League context
- Roster fit
- Scoring · needs · market
Current model buildModel build Aug 19, 2026View data notes
- Players
- 915
- Governed inputs
- 12
- Model jobs
- 10
The FFO platform
Your league.
Every decision path.
Import a league snapshot to move beyond generic lists. FFO reads your scoring, rosters, lineup needs, market, and opponents before it recommends a move.
- Analyze the leagueRoster strengths, market gaps, and manager tendencies.
- Optimize your teamLineup, waiver, and roster-fit recommendations.
- Build better tradesFairness, team impact, and realistic counterparties.
- Find proprietary edgesExplainable signals combined for your exact context.
Built from evidence.
Honest about uncertainty.
These numbers are generated from the repository's current model manifest—not hand-written marketing copy. The same build step updates them whenever the data pipeline runs.
Inspect the methodology- Players modeled
- 915
- Model modules
- 10
- Approved datasets
- 12
- MAE vs. baseline
- 7.1% lower
Current projection artifact
Distinct jobs, not one opaque score
Recorded in the data manifest
371 rows · 2025 holdout
The projection board
2026 PPR median projections with model-estimated low and high bands.
| Rank | Player | Projection | Range | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWR · SEA | 287.0 pts | 148—425 | high |
| 02 | Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX | 285.7 pts | 166—404 | high |
| 03 | Josh AllenQB · BUF | 281.3 pts | 168—377 | high |
| 04 | Justin HerbertQB · LAC | 274.0 pts | 140—378 | high |
| 05 | Patrick MahomesQB · KC | 273.7 pts | 155—390 | high |
| 06 | Drake MayeQB · NE | 266.4 pts | 139—375 | high |
Projection bands are model estimates, not guaranteed outcomes. Model build Aug 19, 2026; current model build.
One player.
Six distinct signals.
A single composite rank can hide the evidence. FFO keeps each signal visible so you can see whether a player is talented, well-positioned, fairly priced, or simply a better fit for your roster.
Read the model guide- 01Football
What the player can do
- 02Opportunity
What the role allows
- 03Projection
What the range predicts
- 04Market
What leagues are pricing
- 05Matchup
What this week changes
- 06Roster fit
What your team needs
Move from reading
to deciding.
Use public data first. Import a league snapshot when the decision needs your scoring, roster, and opponents.
P10 148P50 287P90 425
See the range, not just the rank
Compare median forecasts with downside and upside bands.
Open projections
- Market fit
- League
- Roster impact
- Required
Evaluate the roster impact
Compare market fairness, positional change, and likely fit on both sides.
Analyze a trade · league requiredHow our projections work
A plain-language guide to inputs, holdout testing, uncertainty bands, known limitations, and exactly what changes when the model refreshes.
Read the guideStart with the data.
Then make it yours.
Explore the public board, or import a league snapshot for roster-aware recommendations.